Colleagues and scholars from coast to coast, across Bass Strait and all the ships at sea.
Dateline: Australia, Federal Politics, June 2015.
This is how the polling numbers stand as at June 2015.
The key points are:
The Coalition has suffered a 5.4% primary vote swing and a 6.0% two party preferred swing since the 2013 election. If replicated in an election this would result in a loss of about 26 seats, placing the Coalition on 65 seats (which includes winning back Fairfax) the ALP on 81 seats, 3 Independents (Indi, Denison and Kennedy) and 1 Green (Melbourne).
Since the 2013 election the Coalition has not polled above its two party preferred election result of 53.5% and has not polled above 50% since November 2013. In the last 19 months the Coalition has trailed the ALP by an average of 5 points (52.5% to 47.5%).