The School of Athens

The School of Athens
The School of Athens by Raphael (click on picture to view short documentary from Columbia University)

Wednesday, 25 March 2015

The State of Play

Colleagues and scholars from coast to coast, across Bass Strait and all the ships at sea.

Dateline: Australia, Federal Politics, March 2015.

This is how the polling numbers stand as at the end of March 2015.

The key points are:

The Coalition has suffered a 6.2% primary vote swing and a 6.5% two party preferred swing since the 2013 election. If replicated in an election this would result in a loss of about 29 seats, placing the Coalition on 62 seats (which includes winning back Fairfax) the ALP on 84 seats, 3 Independents (Indi, Denison and Kennedy) and 1 Green (Melbourne).

Since the 2013 election the Coalition has not polled above its two party preferred election result of 53.5%, and has trailed the ALP since December 2013 by an average of 6 points (53% to 47%).


Primary Votes as at March 2015 %

Party
Voting intention
2013 election
Change
Coalition
39.4
45.6
(-6.2)
ALP
38.9
33.4
+5.5
Greens
10.9
8.7
+2.2
Others
10.8
12.3
(-1.5)


Two Party Preferred as at March 2015 %

Party
Voting intention
2013 election
Change
Coalition
47.0
53.5
(-6.5)
ALP
53.0
46.5
+6.5 







Psephological regards.


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