The School of Athens

The School of Athens
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Thursday, 18 April 2019

The state of play

Fellow citizens,

You can read the rubbish analysis of the polls written in The Australian newspaper and retold verbatim on 'high quality' TV morning shows like Channel Seven's Sunrise, or you can read the measured analysis by my colleagues William Bowe and Mark the Ballot.

They use two different methods of analysis, but both are highly rigorous and I have every confidence is an accurate reflection of the current state of play.

William Bowe's assessment



Mark the Ballot's assessment

"Putting the latest poll into my Bayesian aggregation yields the same result I had last week: Labor has 52.6 per cent of the two-party preferred (TPP) vote share. The Coalition has 47.4 per cent."



That is all.

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