How does the elevation of Scott Morrison to Prime Minister compare to when Malcolm Turnbull assumed the Liberal leadership?
In short: very poorly.
At the end of October 2015, six weeks following the elevation of Malcolm Turnbull, the Coalition's primary vote stood at 45.4%.
Seven week's after the elevation of Scott Morrison, the Coalition's primary vote stands at 36.7%
A difference of 8.7%, or about 1.25 million voters.
At the end of October 2015, six weeks following the elevation of Malcolm Turnbull, the ALP's primary vote stood at 31.8%.
Seven week's after the elevation of Scott Morrison, the ALP's primary vote stands at 36.8%.
A difference of 5%, or about 700,000 voters.
In Two Party Preferred terms, at the end of October 2015, six weeks following the elevation of Malcolm Turnbull, the Coalition's two party preferred vote stood at 53%.
Seven week's after the elevation of Scott Morrison, the Coalition's two party preferred vote stands at 46.7%.
A difference of 6.3% or about 900,000 voters.
Comparison Primary Votes: Turnbull October 2015 vs Morrison October 2018 %
Party
|
Turnbull
|
Morrison
|
Difference
|
Coalition
|
45.4
|
36.7
|
(-8.7)
|
ALP
|
31.8
|
36.8
|
+5.0
|
Greens
|
12.6
|
11.9
|
(-0.7)
|
Others
|
10.2
|
14.6
|
+4.4
|
Comparison Two Party Preferred: Turnbull October 2015 vs Morrison October 2018 %
Party
|
Turnbull
|
Morrison
|
Difference
|
Coalition
|
53.0
|
46.7
|
(-6.7)
|
ALP
|
47.0
|
53.3
|
+6.7
|
There's not much love for Scott Morrison, certainly compared to Malcolm Turnbull.
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