Dateline: Australia, Federal Politics, March 2016.
The Australian public want to like Malcolm Turnbull, they really do, and they really want him to succeed, they really and truly do. But unfortunately, Malcolm just hasn't lived up to the public's expectations.
Both as Opposition Leader and as Prime Minister, the one word that the public will use to describe him is - disappointing.
Have a look at this fine work from my psephological colleague Dr. Kevin Bonham from the University of Tasmania.
He has tracked the net satisfaction ratings (as measured by Newspoll) for Malcolm Turnbull when he was Opposition Leader and now as Prime Minister. [Net satisfaction = percentage of public satisfied with a leader's performance minus the percentage who are dissatisfied]
The similarities in how quickly Malcolm has fallen from the public's favour are quite eerie. Crucially, the figures for his time as Opposition Leader pre-date the farce that was Godwin Grech and Oz-Car.
As Kevin Bonham observed: "The patterns of Turnbull's Newspoll netsat over time since becoming leader are quite similar to when he was Opposition Leader - in fact, this time around he's taken two weeks less to go below zero".
Malcolm just doesn't live up to his promise.
"Insanity is doing the same thing, over and over again, and expecting different results."
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